2024 Presidential Election Odds: Odds After Latest Trump Indictment
Photo by Jeff Swensen/Getty Images. Pictured: Former President Donald Trump pictured at a campaign rally two days before his indictment on four charges, as we look at the latest, updated 2024 presidential election odds.
2024 Presidential Election Odds: Odds to Win 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
| Candidate | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | +180 | 34.69% |
| Donald Trump | +250 | 27.75% |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | +1350 | 6.70% |
| Ron DeSantis | +1800 | 5.11% |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | +2000 | 4.63% |
| Gavin Newsom | +2000 | 4.63% |
| Michelle Obama | +2500 | 3.74% |
| Kamala Harris | +4500 | 2.11% |
| Glenn Youngkin | +5500 | 1.73% |
| Tim Scott | +6500 | 1.47% |
| Nikki Haley | +6500 | 1.47% |
| Chris Christie | +6500 | 1.47% |
| Elizabeth Warren | +10000 | 0.96% |
| Joe Manchin | +12000 | 0.80% |
| Gretchen Whitmer | +13000 | 0.74% |
| Mike Pence | +13000 | 0.74% |
| Pete Buttigieg | +14000 | 0.69% |
| Hillary Clinton | +21000 | 0.46% |
| Tucker Carlson | +25000 | 0.39% |
| Bernie Sanders | +57000 | 0.17% |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | +59000 | 0.16% |
| Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson | +60000 | 0.16% |
| Kanye West | +63000 | 0.15% |
| Ted Cruz | +68000 | 0.14% |
Odds via European exchange Betfair as of 11:15 p.m. ET on 8/14/2023. Implied probability is "fair" implied probability, without the vigorish. Sportsbooks cannot offer political betting in the United States.
From now until the 2024 presidential election next November, we will be providing you the latest updates on the 2024 presidential election odds and chances to win the election.
Currently, President Joe Biden is the favorite to win the 2024 presidential election. President Joe Biden's 2024 presidential election odds are +180.
Former President Donald Trump is an underdog to Joe Biden in the 2024 presidential election odds. Former president Trump's 2024 presidential election odds are currently +250.
Those are the updated 2024 presidential election odds as of the news late on Monday night that former president Trump had been indicted in the state of Georgia, along with 18 others, for efforts to overturn the 2020 election results in that state. The grand jury voted to bring 13 total felony charges against Trump.
2024 Presidential Election: Donald Trump's Odds to Win Presidency in 2024
Donald Trump's odds to win the 2024 presidential election are now +250. That means a $10 bet would win $34 total, including your $10 back.
According to betting implied probability, Donald Trump has a 27.75% chance to win the 2024 presidential election.
2024 Presidential Election: Joe Biden's Odds to Win the Presidency in 2024
President Joe Biden's odds to win the 2024 presidential election and reelection are +180. That means a $10 bet would win $28 total, including your $10 back.
According to betting implied probability, President Joe Biden has a 34.69% chance to win the 2024 presidential election and reelection. President Biden is the favorite to win the 2024 presidential election.
2024 Presidential Election Odds Updates: Recent Odds Movement
Former President Donald Trump's 2024 presidential election odds had moved from +225 to +240 following his indictment by the Justice Department earlier this month on federal charges that he attempted to overturn the 2020 presidential election, before moving slightly longer to +250 on Monday night after his indictment in Georgia.
Following Donald Trump's arraignment earlier this month, former Vice President Mike Pence's odds to win the 2024 presidential election moved from +18000, or 180-1, to +9000, or 90-1. However, Pence's odds to win the 2024 presidential election have since moved back down to +13000.
Florida governor Ron DeSantis's odds to win the 2024 presidential election have remained at +1800 since Donald Trump's federal indictment and arraignment.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. had been the third-likeliest person to win the 2024 presidential election, according to the betting odds, at +1500, but he has since slid to +2000, trailing Vivek Ramaswamy at +1350.
2024 Presidential Election Odds: Opening Odds to Win the Presidential Election
Donald Trump had opened as the favorite to win the 2024 presidential election at +250 in July last year, followed by Ron DeSantis at +300 and Joe Biden at +550.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr., meanwhile, was not even listed on the opening odds last July.
Donald Trump's odds to win the 2024 presidential election had fallen back to as long as +350 following last November's midterms, pending investigations, and apparent momentum from Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. Former President Trump first became an underdog to Joe Biden shortly after, when Attorney General Merrick Garland appointed Jack Smith as special counsel to oversee the ongoing investigations.
However, as DeSantis' own campaign has run into questions, his odds have fallen precipitously, shortening the odds on Donald Trump winning the election even further than where they opened.
This is a developing story that will be updated regularly. Information from The Associated Press was used in this article.
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