Sean Zerillo

Sean Zerillo
Baseball, MMA, Horse Racing
Role
Staff Writer
Experience
14 years
Location
New York
Total Bets
22K
Followers
89.4K

Sean Zerillo's Picks

Today
KC +135
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation
0
-
0
KC Team Abbreviation
KC
0.5u
Top 1st
Bet to +122
173
26
Over 8.5-115
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation
0
-
0
KC Team Abbreviation
KC
0.58u
Top 1st
Bet to -118 or 9 (+100)
228
30
SEA -135
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation
0
-
0
KC Team Abbreviation
KC
0.68u
Top 1st
Cashed out of KC, originally projected for Hancock (SEA) not gilbert. Over still good to -115
81
24
COL +190
ARI
ARI Team Abbreviation@COL Team Abbreviation
COL
0.5u
12:40 AM
Bet to +155
196
34
SF +130
TB
TB Team Abbreviation@SF Team Abbreviation
SF
0.5u
1:45 AM
Bet to +118
201
30
CIN +106
CLE
CLE Team Abbreviation@CIN Team Abbreviation
CIN
0.5u
10:40 PM
Tuesday. Bet to +100
82
19
Over 9-102
BOS
BOS Team Abbreviation@WSH Team Abbreviation
WSH
0.51u
11:05 PM
Tuesday. Bet to -110
80
16
NYY +184
NYY
NYY Team Abbreviation@ATL Team Abbreviation
ATL
0.5u
11:20 PM
Tuesday. Bet to +172
77
19
Over 8.5-110
DET
DET Team Abbreviation@MIN Team Abbreviation
MIN
0.55u
11:40 PM
Tuesday. Bet to -112
79
16
Pending
MIA +130
HOU
HOU Team Abbreviation
0
-
2
MIA Team Abbreviation
MIA
0.5u
Bot 6th
Bet to +115
239
33
Under 10.5+100
PIT
PIT Team Abbreviation
2
-
2
NYM Team Abbreviation
NYM
0.5u
Mid 3rd
Bet to -110
105
26
NYY +190
NYY
NYY Team Abbreviation
2
-
4
ATL Team Abbreviation
ATL
0.5u
Bot 3rd
Need +190
190
32
Under 9-102
NYY
NYY Team Abbreviation
2
-
4
ATL Team Abbreviation
ATL
0.51u
Bot 3rd
Bet to -105
170
28
Under 8.5-110
CWS
CWS Team Abbreviation@CHC Team Abbreviation
CHC
0.55u
08/16 12:05 AM
Tuesday. Bet to -118 or 8 (+100)
65
14
KC +134
SEA
SEA Team Abbreviation@KC Team Abbreviation
KC
0.5u
08/16 12:10 AM
Tuesday. Bet to +128
83
19
Futures
Oakland Athletics o57.5-110
2023 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Superbook NJ. Bet to 59.5 My Projection: 62.7 Public Projection Range: 61 to 68.2
85
11
Detroit Tigers u70.5-110
2023 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Superbook NJ. Bet to 70 My Projection: 66.8 Public Projection Range: 67 to 70.5
89
13
Chicago White Sox u83.5-103
2023 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1.03u
Bet to 80. Reduce risk at 81.5 or below. My Projection: 76.7 Public Projection Range: 79 to 79.2 Three different public projections have them at 79 wins. I’m lower
126
13
Philadelphia Phillies u89.5+100
2023 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
Bet365. Bet to 87.5. Reduce risk below 89.5 My Projection: 84.3 Public Projection Range: 86.3 to 89.5
135
11
Miami Marlins o74.5-114
2023 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.57u
Bet to 75 My Projection: 78.3 Public Projection Range: 78 to 80.1
57
9
Seattle Mariners u88.5-110
2023 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Superbook NJ. Need 88.5 or better My Projection: 85.4 Public Projection Range: 81.6 to 84 I am the high man on the Mariners, and every projection likes the Under. Sounds like last year….
67
11
New York Yankees+115
2023 MLB AL East - To Win
0.5u
Projected odds closer to -130. Bet to -106. Least favorite team 🤮
89
13
Cleveland Guardians+160
2023 MLB AL Central - To Win
0.5u
Superbook NJ. Projected odds closer to even money. Bet to +125. Also a slight edge on Twins +275 to +300 in the Central, but larger edge on Guards
104
8
Los Angeles Angels+1200
2023 MLB AL West - To Win
0.1u
FanGraphs + PECOTA at 12.8% and 13.9% respectively. Just to make sure my number wasn’t so far off the market. The market is just off here. This bet will lose but these odds are kind of crazy. Would play down to +900
66
10
Atlanta Braves+145
2023 MLB NL East - To Win
0.5u
Projected line around -115. Bet to +106. Second least favorite team 🤮
104
13
St. Louis Cardinals-110
2023 MLB NL Central - To Win
0.55u
Bet365. Projected line around -130. Need -110 or better. Third least favorite team 🤮
55
7
San Diego Padres+140
2023 MLB NL West - To Win
0.5u
Projected line around +115. Bet to +135
82
9
New York Yankees+375
2023 MLB American League - To Win
0.5u
Projected closer to +250. Bet to +325
93
12
Cleveland Guardians+2000
2023 MLB American League - To Win
0.1u
Superbook NJ. Bet to +1750
49
8
Atlanta Braves+500
2023 MLB National League - To Win
1u
Projected closer to +375. Bet to +440
96
15
San Diego Padres+550
2023 MLB National League - To Win
0.5u
Projected around +440. Bet to +500
93
11
St. Louis Cardinals+1200
2023 MLB National League - To Win
0.1u
Superbook NJ. Sprinkle at +1200 or better
53
8
Atlanta Braves+1000
2023 MLB World Series - To Win
0.5u
Projected around +775. Bet to +900
99
13
Cleveland Guardians+4000
2023 MLB World Series - To Win
0.1u
Superbook NJ. Projected around +2750. Bet to +3300.
68
11
Tampa Bay Rays+2500
2023 MLB World Series - To Win
0.1u
Projected +2200. Sprinkle at 25-1 or better
67
12
St. Louis Cardinals+2500
2023 MLB World Series - To Win
0.1u
Superbook NJ. Sprinkle at 25-1 or better
67
8
Kevin Gausman+2500
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.1u
Superbook
57
9
Cristian Javier+2600
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.15u
Favorite AL Cy Bet
98
12
George Kirby+8000
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.05u
49
10
Triston McKenzie+4000
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.1u
365 / FD
58
10
Shohei Ohtani+1200
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.1u
59
9
Carlos Rodon+1200
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.1u
365
50
7
Hunter Greene+8000
2023 MLB National League Cy Young
0.05u
365
45
10
Aaron Nola+2000
2023 MLB National League Cy Young
0.15u
Superbook. Favorite NL Cy bet
65
9
Spencer Strider+1200
2023 MLB National League Cy Young
0.1u
Superbook
62
10
Logan Webb+4000
2023 MLB National League Cy Young
0.1u
Superbook
48
12
Zack Wheeler+1800
2023 MLB National League Cy Young
0.1u
Superbook
53
9
Julio Rodriguez+1000
2023 MLB American League MVP
0.15u
Bet every year at this price
66
10
Yordan Alvarez+1400
2023 MLB American League MVP
0.2u
Favorite AL MVP when I bet this before spring started. Not as concerned as most about the hand - but would understand if you want to wait
67
10
Corey Seager+5000
2023 MLB American League MVP
0.05u
Bet365. Going to rake with no shift
52
10
Wander Franco+4000
2023 MLB American League MVP
0.1u
Superbook. Double the price of last year
52
11
Adley Rutschman+5000
2023 MLB American League MVP
0.05u
365
47
11
Juan Soto+600
2023 MLB National League MVP
0.5u
Superbook. Favorite NL MVP bet. Odds double what they were last year.
76
9
Mookie Betts+900
2023 MLB National League MVP
0.1u
He wins it last year if he didn’t miss 20 games. Power improving
67
8
Ronald Acuna Jr.+1000
2023 MLB National League MVP
0.1u
Bet every year at this price.
58
12
Anthony Volpe+2500
2023 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.2u
Superbook. Favorite AL ROY bet when I placed it. They moved the # today. Would risk 0.1u now around +1600 to +1800 around the market.
54
10
Hunter Brown+1400
2023 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
39
9
Grayson Rodriguez+1100
2023 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
365
43
12
Logan O'Hoppe+2750
2023 MLB American League Rookie of the Year
0.15u
Superbook. Bet at +3000 and +2500. Like this down to +1500 but would lower the risk to 0.1u.
43
9
Elly De La Cruz+2000
2023 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
Superbook
49
11
Andrew Painter+2500
2023 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
Superbook
35
11
Spencer Steer+2500
2023 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
42
8
Ezequiel Tovar+1200
2023 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
Superbook
45
9
Jordan Walker+1000
2023 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.15u
Favorite NL ROY bet at these odds. Has moved down to +850 (Pointsbet). Like it to +750 assuming he’s on the opening day roster
49
9
Clay Holmes+3300
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Saves
0.1u
365
40
8
Devin Williams+2000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Saves
0.1u
365
46
9
Pete Fairbanks+8000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Saves
0.1u
365
42
11
Jacob deGrom+1200
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.1u
47
9
Aaron Nola+1400
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.1u
54
9
Hunter Greene+3000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.1u
53
10
Cristian Javier+4000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.1u
42
11
Carlos Rodon+1500
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.1u
39
9
Luis Castillo+5000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Strikeouts
0.05u
47
10
Luis Severino+7000
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.05u
Finished 3rd in 2017, 9th in 2018 before the injuries. Finally healthy and projects far better than this pricetag
39
10
Luis Arraez+2200
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Hits
0.15u
Favorite hits leader bet. Marlins may try to jam him in the lineup everyday. Ranks second behind Tim Anderson in projected hits per PA, but Anderson is +1200.
62
8
Bo Bichette+1300
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Hits
0.1u
41
8
Amed Rosario+2500
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Hits
0.1u
46
10
Jeff McNeil+4000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Hits
0.1u
40
9
Luis Robert+6600
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Hits
0.05u
365. Projected 6th in hits per PA. Right behind Bichette. Injury risk more than built in here. Steal if he plays a whole season
38
9
Mookie Betts+1100
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Runs
0.15u
Favorite Runs leader bet. First in average (per PA) and overall projected Runs
53
8
Freddie Freeman+1800
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Runs
0.1u
Projected 2nd in total runs, 8th in avg per PA. Higher floor, lower ceiling - but the price is right. Would handicap Betts and Freddie as favorites ahead of Soto and Judge
38
8
Yordan Alvarez+2500
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Runs
0.1u
Allocating 0.75u across three player props and the MVP bet. If you want to wait b/c of the hand I get it / but the odds may start dipping when he picks up a bat. Threat to lead every offensive category if he’s healthy.
43
7
Julio Rodriguez+2000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Runs
0.1u
Price has moved closer to +1500. Wouldn’t go much below that. Just assume going forward to bet J-Rod if we’re getting these prices on Runs Leader / HR Leader / MVP
37
8
Michael Harris II+7500
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Runs
0.1u
My other favorite Runs leader bet. Projected 21st in runs scored. Betting on lineup spot variance. Could leadoff if Acuna misses time / could move to the 2 spot if he’s their second best hitter like last season
47
8
Yordan Alvarez+1000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.2u
Projected 1st in RBI per PA. 3rd in total RBI. Would set him as the favorite ahead of Alonso and Judge
69
10
Jose Ramirez+2000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.1u
Projected 4th in total RBI, 5th in avg per PA. Closer to 12th on the odds board
50
9
Matt Olson+1800
2023 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.1u
Projected 6th in total RBI but correlation to my other Braves futures / Harris Runs leader
43
9
Giancarlo Stanton+5000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.05u
Projected 8th in RBI per PA. 37th in total RBI. Small investment on injury variance. Exact type of bet this process is meant to uncover
46
8
Manny Machado+2500
2023 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.1u
Projected 8th in total RBI. Tied for 13th on the odds board.
46
9
Yordan Alvarez+1200
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.25u
Same # at Superbook. Projected 4th. Again, can wait on the hand here but assuming this closes +1000 or lower everywhere if he’s ready in a month
76
10
Mat Olsen+5000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.05u
Superbook. Bet to +3000 (FD). Projected 8th in total HR. Listed 10th on the board at FD, 13th at SB
38
9
Giancarlo Stanton+4000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.05u
Superbook. Projected 11th in HR per PA, 16th in total HR. Small bet on injury variance. Even if he’s washed can hit .200 with 45 HR and lead the league
39
9
Juan Soto+5000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.05u
Superbook. Bet to +3500 (FD). Projected 15th in total HR and 51st in HR per PA. Still, this is the best category to spec on HOF talent. Projections didn’t support Vlad bets at the same prices in 2021 and we played those. 45+ HR season is coming at some point
50
8
Julio Rodriguez+5000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.05u
Superbook. Bet to +4000 (CZR). Everything I said about Soto applies here - and JROD hits the ball harder
49
11
Cal Raleigh+20000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Home Runs
0.02u
Would only bet this at 200-1. Oddly, Superbook at +4000 - they typically have the best # on HR leaders. Projected 18th in HR per PA. Elite power metrics while injured last season. If Raleigh gets enough DH at bats he can get to 40+.
45
9
Jazz Chisholm Jr.+2200
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.1u
365. Projected 2nd. Listed 12th on the odds board
60
8
Bubba Thompson+4000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.1u
365. Projected 3rd. Listed 17th on the odds board
67
10
Dylan Moore+5000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.1u
365. Projected 4th. Listed 18th on the odds board
47
9
Jon Berti+2000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.1u
Projected 5th in steals per PA. Top 4 are Thompson, Moore, Mondesi, Ruiz - 2 longshots I bet and 2 favorites I didn’t. Led the league last year. Wouldn’t go below +2000 here - more competition for ABs this season
41
9
Chicago White Sox u83.5-110
2023 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.55u
Increasing position to win 1.5u
32
14
New York Yankees+120
2023 MLB AL East - To Win
0.25u
Increasing position to 0.75u
41
8
Cleveland Guardians+160
2023 MLB AL Central - To Win
0.25u
Superbook. Increasing position to 0.75u
35
6
Atlanta Braves+145
2023 MLB NL East - To Win
0.25u
Increasing position to 0.75u
32
6
San Diego Padres+140
2023 MLB NL West - To Win
0.25u
Increasing position to 0.75u
38
6
St. Louis Cardinals-115
2023 MLB NL Central - To Win
0.29u
Superbook. Incrasing position to 0.75u
34
6
Max Fried+2500
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.15u
Projected wins leader / and also for the most starts on my top ranked team. Favorite bet in this category
46
9
Shane Bieber+3000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
Superbook
34
10
Cristian Javier+3000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
Superbook
40
8
Julio Urias+2500
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
36
9
Framber Valdez+3000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Pitcher Wins
0.1u
35
8
Kyle Schwarber+4000
2023 MLB Most Regular Season RBIs
0.05u
45
12
Jake McCarthy+2400
2023 MLB Most Regular Season Stolen Bases
0.1u
45
11
Shohei Ohtani+1200
2023 MLB American League Cy Young
0.05u
Bumping to 0.15u with all the AL spring injuries. Javier/Ohtani favorite AL Cy bets
40
12
Los Angeles Angels (Yes)+185
2023 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.25u
39
11
Minnesota Twins (Yes)+130
2023 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.25u
30
14
Arizona Diamondbacks (Yes)+425
2023 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.5u
Added on 4/11. Bet to +400. FG at 21%. Speed and Defense Electric Factory
75
22
New York Mets (No)+145
2023 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.5u
Added 5/18. FG projected line +105. Pecota higher on their chances. May add more on Monday afrer they host Cleveland this weekend with Scherzer/Verlander pitching
46
15
Francisco Alvarez+750
2023 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.25u
Added 5/29
54
10
Elly De La Cruz+3000
2023 MLB National League Rookie of the Year
0.1u
Added 5/29. Have some preseason but taking a better #
42
13
Cincinnati Reds+4000
2023 MLB NL Central - To Win
0.1u
Added 6/6 after Elly called up. First futures bet I’ve made this year that directly goes against projections (0.1% PECOTA, 1.5% Fangraphs) but the division is wide open. How wrong can you be at this price? Small to about +3500
68
19
Miami Marlins (No)+110
2023 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.5u
Added 6/20. Pecota at 35.6%. FG at 54.9%. SP depth falling apart which needs to be their identity
47
14
Blake Snell+4000
2023 MLB National League Cy Young
0.1u
Added 6/23. Poke at 40-1 or better. Could have had 60-1 before his last start
54
13
Chicago Cubs+500
2023 MLB NL Central - To Win
0.5u
Added 6/29. Would want +400 or better
45
13
Los Angeles Angels u80.5-115
2023 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.58u
Added 7/14. Need 80.5 or better
46
12
Houston Astros+120
2023 MLB AL West - To Win
0.5u
Added 7/14. Bet to +100
75
9
Baltimore Orioles+1200
2023 MLB American League - To Win
0.2u
Bet to +1100
66
10
Toronto Blue Jays+1000
2023 MLB American League - To Win
0.1u
Need +1000
60
9
Baltimore Orioles+2800
2023 MLB World Series - To Win
0.1u
Bet to +2400
62
9
Toronto Blue Jays+2400
2023 MLB World Series - To Win
0.1u
Bet to +2200
56
7
San Diego Padres (Yes)+300
2023 MLB To Make the Playoffs
0.33u
Bet to +233
75
13
San Diego Padres o82.5+100
2023 MLB Regular Season - Total Wins
0.5u
Bet to -110
47
12
San Diego Padres+4500
2023 MLB World Series - To Win
0.05u
Bet to +4000
67
11
San Diego Padres+3400
2023 MLB NL West - To Win
0.05u
Bet to +2500
64
10
San Francisco Giants+750
2023 MLB NL West - To Win
0.2u
Bet to +700
61
8
Houston Astros-110
2023 MLB AL West - To Win
0.55u
Added 8/2 (post deadline). Bet to -128
55
13
Past Performance
Yesterday12-8-060%
1.71u
Last 7 Days60-67-545%
1.29u
Last 30 Days270-292-2446%
6.20u
All Time10356-10819-83147%
155.67u
Top Leagues
MLB5052-5364-57746%
156.98u
NFL1154-945-3854%
51.57u
UFC758-925-645%
28.65u
Champions98-81-952%
8.53u
WTA117-112-849%
7.71u
NBA522-476-1352%
6.48u
La Liga86-75-1549%
5.41u
World Cup20-32-138%
3.20u
European Championship17-14-153%
2.13u
XFL6-5-055%
1.78u
Serie A115-107-1948%
0.39u
WNBA5-3-063%
0.32u
MLS47-39-1646%
-0.22u
Europa League0-1-10%
-0.58u
Golf12-66-015%
-2.36u
NASCAR0-14-00%
-2.81u
Bundesliga109-115-2045%
-4.25u
Premier League220-244-4643%
-14.51u
NHL511-584-047%
-18.16u
ATP233-304-943%
-21.26u
NCAAB594-596-1649%
-22.89u
NCAAF654-682-3648%
-49.27u

Summary

Sean provides MLB and MMA projections for the Action Network, using his own proprietary data models. He also provides digital content related to baseball, MMA, and horseracing across all platforms.

Sean started betting in 2007 - when he first learned about Wong teasers.

He previously followed a career path in the legal industry, but re-routed towards sports data and information in 2018.

Experience

Sean began contributing to Action in 2019, after working as a baseball video scout for Sports Info Solutions.

He previously worked in financial regulatory compliance, including stops at E-TRADE and RBC Capital Markets.

Education

Sean graduated from the University of Miami with degrees in Sports Administration and Philosophy.

He later attended Law School at Hofstra University, and passed the New York State Bar Exam in 2014.

Top Sportsbooks for Zerillo

Factors that matter most in choosing a sportsbook:

  • Best lines on things I like to bet,
  •  Easy to use app
  •  Desktop experience
  • High betting limit
  •  Unique offerings and bet types

Favorite Types of bets:  Straight bets, Parlays, Player props, Futures

 

Top 3 Sportsbooks Ranked with Pros/Cons:

1. FanDuel Sportsbook

FanDuel Pros

  • Competitive pricing.
  •  Make F5 lines for baseball available overnight. 
  • Higher limits than most.

FanDuel Cons

  • Need a more accessible layout. I have to click through/into too many individual game pages to find options that I want to be (ex. have to click on a game, then toggle to "1st Half" to find F5 lines)

Get more details about the FanDuel Sportsbook promo code and the good and bad about the sportsbook.

2. DraftKings Sportsbook

DraftKings Pros

  • Best layout of the bunch. They put the entire menu for individual betting options on one screen so you don't have to click through into individual game pages, which is almost unique.

DraftKings Cons

  • Can often find matching or better prices elsewhere.

Join Zerillo–get the DraftKings promo code and learn the good and bad about the sportsbook.

 

3. WynnBET Sportsbook

WynnBET Pros

  • Typically has the best prices - especially for MLB - often matching the best prices, even offshore.

WynnBET Cons

  • F5 lines for MLB not available overnight. 
  • Similar UX issues to Fanduel and other books - have to click through too many game pages/menus to find the market I'm looking for.

Learn more about the WynnBET Promo code and if the app is available in your state.

On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
I only remember the bad beats.
Most Heartbreaking Bet
In 2012, I bet Josh Hamilton (+4000) to finish as the MLB HR king. He hit 43 home runs, with his last coming on September 24th. Miguel Cabrera tied Hamilton on September 29th, and surpassed him on October 1st - with two games remaining in the season.
Specialties
  • Baseball
  • MMA
  • Horse Racing