MLB RBI Props

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Tue Aug 15

It seems to easy for baseball's best hitters to post an RBI in a single game. There's just no way Paul Goldschmidt should be +140 to drive in a run, right? He's been crushing the ball this year.

The truth is that RBIs tend to come in bunches, and even the best hitters don't drive in a run in more than half their games.

Our tool compares RBI props at all legal sportsbooks to make sure you're getting the best price.

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Because games in which RBIs occur for a single player are pretty rare, you're always getting plus-money on over 0.5 RBIs. 

As of mid-September, Goldschmidt had RBIs in 51 of the 133 games he played. That's just 38% of the time.

That's why DraftKings prices him at +140 to bat in a run. When converted to probabilities, it's about 41%, so you're not getting a great line here. The books are applying a big house edge.

RBI Prop Payout Examples

Let's say you bet Paul Goldschmidt to get an RBI against the Pirates.

  • Gets an RBI at +140: $10 wins $14
  • Doesn't get an RBI: $18.50 wins $10

You'll notice a big gap between the two payouts -- that's the edge the sportsbook is building in.