2022 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds Tracker: Henry Favored

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PlayerOdds
Geno Smith - Seattle Seahawks+165
Christian McCaffrey - San Francisco 49ers+165
Saquon Barkley - New York Giants+250
Brian Robinson - Washington Commanders+600
Jared Goff - Detroit Lions+1000
Allen Robinson II - Los Angeles Rams+2500
Nick Gates - New York Giants+5000
Khalil Mack - Los Angeles Chargers+5000
Deshaun Watson - Cleveland Browns+5000
Trey Lance - San Francisco 49ers+5000
Gus Edwards - Baltimore Ravens+6000
Derrick Henry - Tennessee Titans+8000
Travis Etienne Jr. - Jacksonville Jaguars+10000
JuJu Smith-Schuster - Kansas City Chiefs+10000
J.J. Watt - Arizona Cardinals+10000
Marcus Mariota - Atlanta Falcons+10000
Daniel Jones - New York Giants+10000
DeAndre Hopkins - Arizona Cardinals+10000
Raheem Mostert - Miami Dolphins+10000
Tre'Davious White - Buffalo Bills+10000
J.K. Dobbins - Baltimore Ravens+10000
Chase Young - Washington Commanders+10000
Chris Godwin - Tampa Bay Buccaneers+10000
Baker Mayfield - Los Angeles Rams+10000
Carl Lawson - New York Jets+10000
DJ Chark Jr. - Detroit Lions+10000
Danielle Hunter - Minnesota Vikings+10000
Jaycee Horn - Carolina Panthers+10000
Gardner Minshew - Philadelphia Eagles+10000
Ronnie Stanley - Baltimore Ravens+10000
Dan Arnold - Jacksonville Jaguars+10000
Brandon Graham - Philadelphia Eagles+10000
Cam Akers - Los Angeles Rams+15000
Maxx Williams - Arizona Cardinals+15000
Michael Thomas - New Orleans Saints+15000
Robert Woods - Tennessee Titans+15000
Drew Lock - Seattle Seahawks+15000
Mitch Trubisky - Pittsburgh Steelers+15000
Jameis Winston - New Orleans Saints+20000
Marlon Humphrey - Baltimore Ravens+20000
Jeff Okudah - Detroit Lions+20000
Marcus Peters - Baltimore Ravens+20000

Derrick Henry is favored to win NFL Comeback Player of the Year after missing much of last season before returning for the Titans only playoff game. But that begs the question -- has he already returned, and can he still win? 

That's what makes Comeback Player of the Year so interesting. There aren't clear guardrails to define who is eligible and who can win. It doesn't go to the best statistical season, like MVP or Rookie of the Year. In fact, many sportsbooks don't list all the same players.

The official definition: CPOY is given to the player "who shows perseverance in overcoming adversity, in the form of not being in the NFL the previous year, overcoming a severe injury, or simply a poor performance."

CPOY generally goes to injured quarterbacks who return to form. But this year, there aren't many injured QBs returning -- Saints QB Jameis Winston is really the only one, and Giants QB Daniel Jones, who missed the last six games. That makes the field feel wide open.

Here are some players who have taken action so far this offseason:

  • Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey has dropped from +1600 to +700 at FanDuel after missing most of the last two seasons. Just one running back has won since 1998.
  • Panthers QB Baker Mayfield dropped a bit following his trade to Carolina. In the last two decades, five quarterbacks who were not injured but rebounded from poor performance have won. Mayfield will have the narrative in his favor after the Browns ran him out of town by trading for Deshaun Watson, who is also a favorite for this award (but probably shouldn't be).
  • Winston's moved from +700 to +500 at FanDuel.
  • Watson has ping-ponged around a bit as rumors swirl about the length of his suspension. He was the second betting choice earlier in the offseason at DraftKings, and is now seventh at +1200. He's not listed at FanDuel.

Odds via DraftKings and updated in real-time.

Who Are the Comeback Player of the Year Favorites?

1. Derrick Henry +400

  • RB, Titans
  • Reason: Injury

Henry is favored to win, despite coming back in the playoffs last season. He's due for a monster statistical season like usual, but will the narrative be in his favor since he already came back and proved he could play?

2. Jameis Winston

  • QB, Saints
  • Reason: Injury

This award often goes to injured quarterbacks who return to form, and Winston is the only one who fits that bill this year. The Saints offense was terrible without him last year, and they've got a new coach. He's got the narrative in his favor. 

3. Christian McCaffrey +750

  • RB, Panthers
  • Reason: Injury

McCaffrey also has some narrative in his favor after missing most of the last two seasons with a variety of injuries. But just one running back has won this award since 1998.

4. Daniel Jones +800

  • QB, Giants
  • Reason: Injury/Performance

Jones has one last chance with a new coaching stuff and oddsmakers are counting on voters buying into that narrative if his performance improves. He did miss the last six games of the regular season in 2021, but I'm not sure most voters will remember that because his injury wasn't clearly season-ending. He was questionable for three weeks, then inactive for the last three.

5. Mitchell Trubisky +1000

  • QB, Steelers
  • Reason: Performance

Trubisky has plenty of narrative on his side -- the Bears were a disaster, gave up on him, and he now lands in a spot where he has to replace a franchise legend in Ben Roethlisberger.

FUTURESConsensusCons.
Nick BosaN.Bosa
-10000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Saquon BarkleyS.Barkley
-223
+200
N/A
+240
+250
+350
+175
Geno SmithG.Smith
+400
+160
N/A
+175
+165
+150
+200
Brian RobinsonB.Robinson
+546
+500
N/A
N/A
+600
+700
+400
Christian McCaffreyC.McCaffrey
+800
+160
N/A
+145
+165
+125
+300
Derrick HenryD.Henry
+1148
+7500
N/A
N/A
+8000
+7500
+8000
Nick GatesN.Gates
+1204
+10000
N/A
N/A
+5000
+8000
+1000
Daniel JonesD.Jones
+2500
+20000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+20000
+20000
Travis Etienne Jr.T.Etienne
+4446
+5000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
+15000
Khalil MackK.Mack
+5000
+6600
N/A
N/A
+5000
N/A
+10000
Chase YoungC.Young
+5455
+5000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+5000
+6000
Darrell HendersonD.Henderson
+6000
N/A
N/A
+6000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Tre'Davious WhiteT.White
+6004
+15000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+7500
+5000
JuJu Smith-SchusterJ.Smith-Schuster
+6286
+10000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+20000
+20000
James RobinsonJ.Robinson
+6600
+4000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+8000
+10000
KJ HamlerK.Hamler
+6600
+6600
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Trey LanceT.Lance
+6678
N/A
N/A
N/A
+5000
+10000
N/A
DJ Chark Jr.D.Chark
+7500
+6600
N/A
N/A
+10000
N/A
+7500
Julio JonesJ.Jones
+8000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+20000
+8000
David BakhtiariD.Bakhtiari
+8036
+20000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
J.K. DobbinsJ.Dobbins
+8573
+20000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+7500
+5000
Drew LockD.Lock
+8890
+12500
N/A
N/A
+15000
+10000
+8000
Raheem MostertR.Mostert
+9474
+15000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+20000
+20000
Marcus MariotaM.Mariota
+10000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+20000
+20000
Chris GodwinC.Godwin
+10000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+20000
+20000
J.J. WattJ.Watt
+10000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
+8000
Cam AkersC.Akers
+10000
+10000
N/A
N/A
+15000
+20000
+10000
Jacoby BrissettJ.Brissett
+10000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+10000
Jaycee HornJ.Horn
+10000
+10000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
+10000
Mitch TrubiskyM.Trubisky
+10000
+10000
N/A
N/A
+15000
+10000
+10000
Jimmy GaroppoloJ.Garoppolo
+10000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+10000
N/A
DeAndre HopkinsD.Hopkins
+10000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+10000
+10000
Deshaun WatsonD.Watson
+10000
+25000
N/A
N/A
+5000
N/A
+10000
Gardner MinshewG.Minshew
+10000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+10000
N/A
N/A
Joe FlaccoJ.Flacco
+10000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+10000
N/A
Brandon GrahamB.Graham
+12004
+10000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+4800
+10000
Gus EdwardsG.Edwards
+12004
+30000
N/A
N/A
+6000
+10000
+15000
Carl LawsonC.Lawson
+12004
+15000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+20000
+20000
Danielle HunterD.Hunter
+13637
+12500
N/A
N/A
+10000
+20000
+15000
Jeff OkudahJ.Okudah
+15000
+10000
N/A
N/A
+20000
+20000
+15000
Ronnie StanleyR.Stanley
+15000
N/A
N/A
N/A
+10000
+20000
+15000
Adam ThielenA.Thielen
+15000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+15000
Michael ThomasM.Thomas
+15000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+15000
+20000
+15000
Jameis WinstonJ.Winston
+15000
+15000
N/A
N/A
+20000
+20000
+20000
Robert WoodsR.Woods
+17145
+20000
N/A
N/A
+15000
+20000
+15000
Maxx WilliamsM.Williams
+17145
N/A
N/A
N/A
+15000
N/A
+20000
Dan ArnoldD.Arnold
+20000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+10000
N/A
+20000
Trevor LawrenceT.Lawrence
+20000
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
+5500
N/A
Jared GoffJ.Goff
+20000
+1200
N/A
+1500
+1000
+1000
+1400
Baker MayfieldB.Mayfield
+20000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+10000
+20000
+20000
Marlon HumphreyM.Humphrey
+20000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+20000
+20000
+20000
Marcus PetersM.Peters
+20000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+20000
+20000
+20000
Allen Robinson IIA.Robinson
+20000
+20000
N/A
N/A
+2500
+20000
+20000

Where Can I Bet NFL Awards?

Looking to bet NFL Comeback Player of the Year? See where legal sports betting stands in your state, and get a full list of sportsbooks by state.

Here are the 25 states with some form of legal sports gambling.

State Status Type
Arizona Legal (Online) Full online
Arkansas Legal (Online) Retail only
Colorado Legal (Online) Full online
Connecticut Legal (Online) Limited online operators
Delaware Legal (Retail) Retail only
D.C. Legal (Online) Limited online operators
Illinois Legal (Online) Full online
Indiana Legal (Online) Full online
Iowa Legal (Online) Full online
Louisiana Legal (Online) Full online
Maryland Legal (Retail) Retail only
Michigan Legal (Online) Full online
Mississippi Legal (Retail) Bet online in casinos
Nevada Legal (Online) Full online, in-person sign ups
New Hampshire Legal (Online) One online operator
New Jersey Legal (Online) Full online
New York Legal (Online) Full online (no awards)
Oregon Legal (Online) One online operator
Pennsylvania Legal (Online) Full online
Rhode Island Legal (Online) Limited online operators
South Dakota Legal (Retail) Retail only
Tennessee Legal (Online) Full online
Virginia Legal (Online) Full online
West Virginia Legal (Online) Full online
Wyoming Legal (Online) Limited online operators
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