Updated AFC West Title Odds

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TeamOdds
Kansas City Chiefs
-500
Los Angeles Chargers
+482
Las Vegas Raiders
+1600
Denver Broncos
+4000

The Chiefs have the second-highest win total in the NFL, so it's no surprise that they're the favorite to win the AFC West in 2022. This is a bit surprising considering they have arguably the toughest schedule in the league and traded away WR Tyreek Hill in the offseason.

The AFC is going to be the toughest division in the NFL this season, with the Chiefs still around and favored at +175 at Caesars Sportsbook, the Broncos (who added Russell Wilson) and Chargers (who brought in Khalil Mack and J.C. Jackson) right behind them after retooling their rosters in big ways, and the Raiders surprisingly on the outside looking in at +600 despite adding Davante Adams and Chandler Jones.

This seems like the division where anything can happen, so risky futures bets on the title winner should both feel good and bad at the same time. Who do you like to claim it this year?

Odds via Caesars and updated in real-time.

Preseason Updates

May 18: All four teams made more additions through the draft, but things got even closer when the schedules were released and the Chiefs were handed the toughest one in the NFL. As we enter the summer months, Kansas City is +160 to win the AFC West, with the Chargers and Broncos closing in at +250 and the Raiders at +675.

April 1: After a wild month of signings and trades that saw the bottom three teams load up their rosters with talent and the Chiefs lose Tyreek Hill, the gap closed to Chiefs +135, Chargers +270, Broncos +280 and Raiders +600.

Feb 28: To start the offseason, the Chiefs were the early favorite to repeat as AFC West champs, with the Chargers next and pretty far behind at +375, the Broncos at +400 and the Raiders way outside at +800.

Aug 11: The Chiefs remain the favorites heading into the preseason at +175. But the Chargers (+220) and Broncos (+275) have certainly closed the gap. 

FUTURESConsensusCons.
Kansas City ChiefsChiefs
-500
N/A
-50000
-10000
-20000
-20000
-10000
Los Angeles ChargersChargers
+482
N/A
+3300
+3000
+4000
+4100
+2500
Las Vegas RaidersRaiders
+1600
+15000
+15000
N/A
+10000
+10000
+15000
Denver BroncosBroncos
+4000
N/A
+12500
N/A
+15000
+85000
+50000

Past AFC West Winners

Odds via Sports Odds History prior to Week 1 of that season.

The second decade of the 2000s was dominated by the Broncos in the first half and the Kansas City Chiefs ever since. The Chargers were the team to beat in the mid-to-late 2000s, while the Raiders won the first crown since the division was constructed into how we see it today.

Year Team Record Odds
2002 Las Vegas Raiders 9–7 +100
2003 Kansas City Chiefs 13–3 +220
2004 Los Angeles Chargers 12–4 +700
2005 Denver Broncos 13–3 +250
2006 Los Angeles Chargers 14–2 +200
2007 Los Angeles Chargers 11–5 -150
2008 Los Angeles Chargers 8–8 -400
2009 Los Angeles Chargers 13–3 -400
2010 Kansas City Chiefs 10–6 +800
2011 Denver Broncos 8–8 +1400
2012 Denver Broncos 13–3 +150
2013 Denver Broncos 13–3 -455
2014 Denver Broncos 12–4 -400
2015 Denver Broncos 12–4 -160
2016 Kansas City Chiefs 12–4 +160
2017 Kansas City Chiefs 10–6 +225
2018 Kansas City Chiefs 12–4 +275
2019 Kansas City Chiefs 12–4 -200
2020 Kansas City Chiefs 14–2 -400
2021 Kansas City Chiefs 12–5 -275

Broncos logoDenver Broncos

The Denver Broncos have two periods in history to look back upon -- the John Elway era and the Peyton Manning era. Elway led Denver to back-to-back Super Bowl titles in the late 1990s, the franchise's first taste of glory after falling in their first four Super Bowl appearances in years priors. Fast forward to 2013 and Manning started his second season as a Bronco by tying the league record for touchdowns in a game and ran off with the MVP there after, setting passing records in yards and touchdowns on the way. Though Denver would fall to Seattle in the Super Bowl, they returned two years later and sent Manning off with his second ring and a third for the franchise with a win over the Carolina Panthers. Now Russell Wilson will get to don the Orange and Navy, with his offseason trade to Denver igniting a new flame in the city.

  • Playoff Berths: 22
  • Division Titles: 15
  • AFC Championships: 8
  • Super Bowl Championships: 3

Chiefs logoKansas City Chiefs

When it comes to spans between playoffs successes, the Chiefs are up there at the top. After winning three championships in the 60s, including Super Bowl IV with Len Dawson, the Chiefs didn't return to the big game until 2019. After a tough playoff outing in 2018, Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and many more led the Chiefs to a comeback win over the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl 54. They followed it up with a Super Bowl loss a season later, but after inking Mahomes to a 10-year deal, Kansas City looks set to contend for many years to come. But will they be able to keep the right pieces around him for that long too? KC has a history of star power, with the likes of Joe Montana, Tony Gonzalez, Jamaal Charles and Tyreek Hill to name a few.

  • Playoff Berths: 20
  • Division Titles: 12
  • AFC Championships: 2
  • Super Bowl Championships: 2

Raiders logoLas Vegas Raiders

Once in Oakland, then Los Angeles and back in Oakland, the Raiders now call Las Vegas home. The Raiders have made four Super Bowls in their history and have three Lombardi Trophies in their case to prove it. Ironically enough, their lone loss in the Big Game came at the hands of their former head coach, Jon Gruden. The Davis family has held onto the franchise since 1972, with Al's son, Mark, maintaining control of the team since his father's death in 2011. While competitive at times, the Raiders missed the playoffs from 2002-2016. Quarterback Derek Carr has helped the team come back up from the basement of the division and has two playoff appearances under his belt. But is he the long-term answer?

  • Playoff Berths: 20
  • Division Titles: 12
  • AFC Championships: 4
  • Super Bowl Championships: 3

Chargers logoLos Angeles Chargers

One of the few teams to never win a Super Bowl, the Chargers had their one shot back in 1994, but fell to state-rival, the San Francisco 49ers. A new era came in 2004 with the arrival of Philip Rivers. While he never led them to a Super Bowl, Rivers put on a show during regular season play, led the Chargers to the playoffs seven times and won the AFC West five times. With his departure in 2020, the Chargers drafted QB Justin Herbert sixth overall and haven't looked back since. Herbert set rookie passing records across the board and won Rookie of the Year, proving what LA's front office already knew.

  • Playoff Berths: 14
  • Division Titles: 10
  • AFC Championships: 1
  • Super Bowl Championships: 0
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