2023 NFL Draft Odds: Will Levis’ Number 1 Pick Odds Are Slashed on Tuesday
Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images. Pictured: Will Levis (Kentucky)
It's draft season, so let's get you the latest NFL Draft odds.
Monday morning saw big movement because of Peter King's latest mock draft, which has Hendon Hooker going No. 12 to the Texans and Anthony Richardson No. 23 to Minnesota. Then, books cut down Will Levis' odds to be the first overall pick on Tuesday morning.
Below, you can find the latest 2023 NFL Draft odds for major markets via FanDuel. This post will be updated every day leading up to Round 1 on Thursday, April 27.
Odds below via FanDuel and as of Tuesday, April 25, at 9:45 a.m. ET.
No. 1 Pick Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bryce Young | -1350 |
| Will Levis | +700 |
| C.J. Stroud | +3000 |
| Anthony Richardson | +7500 |
| Will Anderson | +20000 |
The market for the No. 1 overall pick looked like it was done moving, but Will Levis stock is changing that.
On Tuesday morning, Levis went from 60-1 to 6-1 at FanDuel to be the No. 1 overall pick. Bryce Young is down from -2000 or higher to -1350, as well.
Unlike on Monday, when odds shifted because of Peter King's mock draft, there's no clear source for this movement aside from a Reddit user, "SaleAgreeable2834," who said Levis is telling people he's going to Carolina. SaleAgreeable2834 has posted twice on Reddit — ever — and the other was about the casting of Robert Pattinson's next Batman movie.
No. 2 Pick Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Will Levis | +150 |
| Will Anderson | +300 |
| Tyree Wilson | +300 |
| C.J. Stroud | +350 |
| Bryce Young | +800 |
| Anthony Richardson | +4000 |
| Jalen Carter | +7500 |
The Levis movement at the No. 1 pick has created change at No. 2.
Bryce Young was +2300 to go No. 2 overall on Monday night. As of 9:45 a.m. ET on Tuesday, he was as low as +600 before moving back up to +800.
Levis was -120 to go No. 2 on Monday night. On Tuesday morning, he's +150.
No. 3 Pick Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Tyree Wilson | +300 |
| C.J. Stroud | +350 |
| Will Anderson | +400 |
| Paris Johnson Jr. | +400 |
| Anthony Richardson | +600 |
| Will Levis | +1200 |
| Jalen Carter | +2200 |
| Peter Skoronski | +3000 |
| Devon Witherspoon | +3300 |
| Christian Gonzalez | +4000 |
| Bryce Young | +6000 |
The biggest movement at this pick is with Paris Johnson Jr., who wasn't even on the board for the No. 3 pick on Sunday. He was +1500 on Monday, but he's now +400 on Tuesday morning.
This pick is in flux, though, because Arizona is the only team in the top four that isn't going to pick a quarterback. If the Cardinals keep the pick, sure, an offensive lineman is possible. If it's traded, though, chances are the team that acquires the pick will be going QB.
Tyree Wilson is the favorite to go No. 3, but he's still +300. There are four players at 4-1 or lower, and five players were added to the board between Monday afternoon and Tuesday morning.
No. 4 Pick Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Will Levis | +130 |
| C.J. Stroud | +210 |
| Anthony Richardson | +300 |
| Will Anderson | +1400 |
| Tyree Wilson | +1600 |
| Jalen Carter | +4000 |
| Devon Witherspoon | +5000 |
| Bryce Young | +6000 |
| Christian Gonzalez | +6000 |
Here's a pick that's not getting traded — unless Indianapolis trades up to get its QB of choice.
It's unlikely the Colts would trade up to No. 1, and no doubt the Texans would be hesitant to trade down so their division rival can get their next QB. That leaves a move to No. 3 to block another team from trading to the Cardinals.
The lines on this did move from Wednesday into Thursday, with Levis and Stroud's odds going down, and Anderson going from +400 to +700. That gives further credence to the idea that the fourth overall pick is more than likely going to be used on a quarterback.
Unlike the top-three picks, there was little/no movement from Monday to Tuesday here.
First-Round Position Markets
Of the key offensive positions, there are two bets to make on how many players will be taken in the first round.
Quarterback and tight end are the two positions where it's truly up in the air. Running back and wide receiver, though, have a consensus on how many first-round-caliber players are available.
NFL Draft Odds: Quarterbacks
Total: 4.5 | Over/Under: -188 / +140
There are four quarterbacks who are consensus first-round picks: Bryce Young, C.J. Stroud, Anthony Richardson and Will Levis. This bet is all about what you think of Hendon Hooker.
Hooker has a few things going against him throughout this process in terms of being a first-round pick: He's 25 years old, coming off a knee injury and played in an offense at Tennessee that experts say is very difficult to project a prospect in, especially a quarterback.
Now, Hooker is a bit more polished than the other four QBs because he did play five seasons of college football. He might be able to help a team in need of a 2023 starter, but would that team want to use a first-round pick?
Again, King's mock on Sunday night is what caused big movement here. We haven't seen plus money on the under yet, but King having Hooker go No. 12 to Houston definitely changed that.
On Monday night, under 4.5 quarterbacks was as high as +162. It settled back down to +140 as of Tuesday morning.
NFL Draft Odds: Runnings Backs
Total: 1.5 | Over/Under: -130 / -102
Clearly, there's only one running back who is a projected first-round pick: Bijan Robinson.
Jahmyr Gibbs is the consensus No. 2 running back, but he's consistently been mocked outside of the first round. King's mock changed that, and this line moved heavily because of his inclusion of the former Alabama RB at No. 30.
NFL Draft Odds: Wide Receivers
Total: 3.5 | Over/Under: -106 / -125
There are four wide receivers who could be first-round picks: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Zay Flowers, Jordan Addison and Quentin Johnston.
The prime candidate to sneak into the first round with that group is Jalin Hyatt. The Tennessee standout ran a 4.40 40-yard dash at the combine and is coming off an incredible season of catching passes from Hooker.
Josh Downs and Tank Dell are among the other receivers who could sneak their way into the back end of the first round.
NFL Draft Odds: Tight Ends
Total: 2.5 | Over/Under: +198 / -280
There are two surefire first-round TE prospects: Utah’s Dalton Kincaid and Notre Dame’s Michael Mayer. Kincaid was favored to be the first player taken at the position, although he and Mayer were getting closer in those markets recently.
Like quarterback, this comes down to one player: Georgia’s Darnell Washington.
Washington is massive at 6-foot-7 and about 265 pounds. His upside is also massive. It just depends on whether a team sees enough in him to make him a first-round pick.
Washington has been visiting with plenty of teams toward the back end of the first round, which is why this is a tempting over.
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